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J Med Virol ; 93(7): 4342-4350, 2021 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1141364

ABSTRACT

In this paper, we propose a new susceptible-vaccinated-exposed-infected-recovered with unaware-aware (SEIR/V-UA) model to study the mutual effect between the epidemic spreading and information diffusion. We investigate the dynamic processes of the model with a Kinetic equation and derive the expression for epidemic stability by the eigenvalues of the Jacobian matrix. Then, we validate the model by the Monte Carlo method and numerical simulation on a two-layer scale-free network. With the outbreak of COVID-19, the spread of the epidemic in China prompted drastic measures for transmission containment. We examine the effects of these interventions based on modeling of the information-epidemic and the data of the COVID-19 epidemic case. The results further demonstrate that the epidemic spread can be affected by the effective transmission rate of awareness.


Subject(s)
COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/transmission , Communicable Disease Control/methods , Health Knowledge, Attitudes, Practice , Patient Education as Topic/methods , COVID-19/pathology , China/epidemiology , Humans , Models, Statistical , SARS-CoV-2
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